Monthly Archives: January 2015

Confusion about 50% Probabilities

About a month ago I started using PredictionBook. The idea is that you record how confident you are that certain events will happen, and then later compare how confident you were against whether or not the events actually did or … Continue reading

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The Health Effects of Vegan and Vegetarian Diets

There seem to be a lot of people who are highly confident that veg*n diets are either very good for human health or very bad for it. Because studies about the health effects of veg*nism often contradict each other, and show … Continue reading

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Speculations About the Psychology of Misusing “Bitch” and “Creep”

There are six foundations in Jonathan Haidt’s influential ‘Moral Foundations Theory.’ One of them, “purity” is about disgust and sanctity. Another, “hierarchy” is about appropriate displays of respect and who may disrespect whom. I think together they conspire to cause … Continue reading

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Bitch Shaming

There is nothing morally bad about being a slut. There is something morally bad about being a creep. Hence, the analogy that some men make—creep shaming is like slut shaming—doesn’t work! Stop making it! The better analogy is that creep shaming is … Continue reading

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2015 Predictions

Below are the probabilities I assign to different events happening in the next year. I’ll revisit this post in January of 2016. Politics/World: 1. On Dec 31, 2015, the price of regular gas at my local gas station will be … Continue reading

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